UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Lightweight
VS
41%
Brown
59%
Camacho
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Camacho
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 41% vs Camacho at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Camacho has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Camacho has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Camacho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
68"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Camacho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
19.5
38.8
Performance Avg
34.0
43
Quality of Victory
40
15
Momentum Score
39
Brown
Camacho
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
3.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
72
9
Body
8
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
54Distance76
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Brown
Camacho
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Camacho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
18
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Brown
Camacho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Brown
Camacho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Camacho
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
BrownCamacho
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
54 landedAbsorbing
80 absorbedCamacho
Attacking
80 landedAbsorbing
54 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (78% of attacks) — Camacho absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Camacho targets the head (90% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Camacho
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Camacho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Frank CamachoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Vinc PichelRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon TuckRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Cesar ArzamendiaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Camacho · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Justin JaynesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · KO · R2
Nick HeinRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Geoff NealRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09