UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Welterweight
VS
60%
Hardy
40%
Ludwig
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:51
DH
Dan Hardy
"The Outlaw"
25 – 10
6'0"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 15
DL
Duane Ludwig
"Bang"
21 – 14
Well-Rounded3-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hardy

Hardy holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ludwig has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Ludwig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ludwig has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hardy
Ludwig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Ludwig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
10.1
46.0
Performance Avg
38.0
37
Quality of Victory
34
38
Momentum Score
10
Hardy
Ludwig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.4
34%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
8
1
Body
5
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance7
4Clinch10
4Ground0
Hardy
Ludwig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Ludwig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Hardy
Ludwig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
10
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hardy
Ludwig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hardy
Ludwig
Striking4.5 / 3.4Volume6.5 / 6.9Grappling1.6 / 1.8Wrestling1.1 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Hardy
Strike Zones
Ludwig
Hardy
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Ludwig
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (83% of attacks) — Ludwig absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Ludwig targets the head (47% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hardy
RND
Ludwig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hardy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L4.0L5.0W4.5W2008-102009-112011-032012-09
WinLossTrend

Ludwig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.0
0104.5W5.0W1.9L2.0L4.5W4.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L2003-042010-032012-012012-09
WinLossTrend

Hardy · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris LytleRating 4
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos ConditRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

Ludwig · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Che MillsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Nick OsipczakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11

News & Media

Dan Hardy · Duane Ludwig
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