METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Welterweight
VS
60%
Hardy
40%
Ludwig
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:51
DH
Dan Hardy
"The Outlaw"
2510
6'0"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 15
DL
Duane Ludwig
"Bang"
2114
Well-Rounded3-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 10
★ Official Result
Dan HardywinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:51
def. Duane Ludwig · UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hardy
Actual result
Hardy wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Hardy holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ludwig has real paths to victory.

Risk flags

Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ludwig has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HardyLudwig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hardy
Ludwig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
44+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Ludwig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
10.1
46.0
Performance Avg
38.0
37
Quality of Victory
34
38
Momentum Score
10
Hardy
Ludwig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
3.1
6.5
Style: Volume
6.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
8
1
Body
5
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance7
4Clinch10
4Ground0
Hardy
Ludwig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Ludwig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Hardy
Ludwig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
10
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hardy
Ludwig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hardy
Ludwig
Striking4.5 / 3.4Volume6.5 / 6.9Grappling1.6 / 1.8Wrestling1.1 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Hardy
Strike Zones
Ludwig
Hardy
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Ludwig
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (83% of attacks) — Ludwig absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Ludwig targets the head (47% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hardy
RND
Ludwig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hardy · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Amir Sadollah
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane Ludwig
KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris Lytle
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Johnson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos Condit
KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

Ludwig · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Che Mills
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R1
Dan Hardy
KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Josh Neer
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Amir Sadollah
Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Nick Osipczak
Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11

News & Media

Dan Hardy · Duane Ludwig
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