★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Miocic
43%
Ngannou
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
FN
CFR 43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miocic
This is a genuine toss-up — Miocic at 57% vs Ngannou at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miocic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miocic's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miocic
Ngannou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
+83"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miocic
Ngannou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
43.0
64.9
Performance Avg
70.4
59
Quality of Victory
60
78
Momentum Score
100
Miocic
Ngannou
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
9 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Miocic
Ngannou
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miocic
Ngannou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Miocic
Ngannou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Miocic
Ngannou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
83%
9
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miocic
Ngannou
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
MiocicNgannou
Strike Zones
Miocic
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNgannou
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miocic targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Ngannou targets the body (100% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miocic
RND
Ngannou
0/0R00/0
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Ngannou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
Ngannou · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneRating 6.2Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
