UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Lightweight
VS
90%
Edwards
10%
Agallar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
Edwards is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Edwards has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edwards
Agallar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
73"
Reach
49
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Agallar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
2.2
47.6
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Edwards
Agallar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
8%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
0
Body
0
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance1
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Edwards
Agallar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Agallar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
1/30 fights
Edwards
Agallar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Edwards
Agallar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Agallar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
EdwardsAgallar
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAgallar
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (62% of attacks) — Agallar absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Agallar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Agallar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
Agallar · Last 1
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11