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UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Jun 2017
Middleweight
VS
57%
Belfort
43%
Marquardt
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
VB
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
26 – 14
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw49 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 22
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
Well-Rounded3-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 17
β˜… Official Result
Vitor BelfortwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Nate Marquardt Β· UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Belfort
β†’
Actual result
Belfort wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Belfort at 57% vs Marquardt at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Belfort has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Belfort throws more volume but Marquardt connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Belfort's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Marquardt has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BelfortMarquardt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Belfort
Marquardt
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
49
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Belfort
Marquardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
16.8
59.2
Performance Avg
48.6
59
Quality of Victory
46
91
Momentum Score
59
Belfort
Marquardt
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
52%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
11 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
10
4
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
14Distance19
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Belfort
Marquardt
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Belfort
Marquardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
26/40 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Belfort
Marquardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
91
59
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Upcoming
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
Belfort
Marquardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
87%
69%
11
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Belfort
Marquardt
Striking8.5 / 5.7Volume1.7 / 3.5Grappling1.2 / 2.6Wrestling0.9 / 1.8Submission1.3 / 2.3Pressure7.9 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Belfort
Strike Zones
Marquardt
Belfort
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY5LEGS20 absorbed
Marquardt
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY5LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Belfort targets the head (78% of attacks) β€” Marquardt absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Marquardt targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Belfort absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Belfort
RND
Marquardt
0/0R00/0

Belfort Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W4.0W4.8L5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.2L5.1W5.0W5.0W2.3L5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W2.8L1997-022003-062012-012016-052018-05
WinLossTrend

Marquardt Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Belfort Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington Β· 2018-05
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway Β· 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin Gastelum
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum Β· 2017-03
L Β· KO Β· R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson Β· 2016-10
L Β· KO Β· R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic Β· 2016-05

Marquardt Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis Β· 2017-11
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway Β· 2017-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena Β· 2017-01
W Β· KO Β· R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson Β· 2016-10
L Β· KO Β· R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic Β· 2016-05

News & Media

Vitor Belfort Β· Nate Marquardt
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