UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2015
Welterweight
VS
58%
Swick
42%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MS
Mike Swick
"Quick"
15 – 6
6'1"77" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
AG
Alex Garcia
"The Dominican Nightmare"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Swick

This is a genuine toss-up — Swick at 58% vs Garcia at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Swick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Swick
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
77"+
Reach
72"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
16.6
55.0
Performance Avg
46.3
47
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
40
Swick
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
32%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Swick
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Swick
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Swick
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swick
Garcia
Striking6.3 / 5.0Volume3.7 / 4.2Grappling2.3 / 2.6Wrestling1.6 / 1.8Submission2.0 / 2.0Pressure6.9 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Swick
Strike Zones
Garcia
Swick
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swick
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

Swick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L2.8L5.2W3.1L5.5L2005-042006-092008-122012-082015-07
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.1L5.0W5.6L6.2W5.5L5.7L2013-122015-072017-062018-10
WinLossTrend

Swick · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

News & Media

Mike Swick · Alex Garcia
← Back to fights