UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
London, United Kingdom
16 Mar 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Oezdemir
52%
Reyes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Reyes
This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 48% vs Reyes at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Reyes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Oezdemir
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Oezdemir
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
55.7
50.8
Performance Avg
56.3
47
Quality of Victory
49
52
Momentum Score
71
Oezdemir
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
0
Body
7
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance17
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Oezdemir
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
10
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Oezdemir
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
71
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Oezdemir
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oezdemir
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
OezdemirReyes
Strike Zones
Oezdemir
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedReyes
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (82% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oezdemir
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
Oezdemir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
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