UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jun 2021
Featherweight
VS
59%
Amirkhani
41%
Kirk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MA
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17 – 9
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
KK
Kamuela Kirk
"The Jawaiian"
12 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsSwitch75" reach5'10"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Amirkhani

This is a genuine toss-up — Amirkhani at 59% vs Kirk at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Amirkhani has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Striking split: Kirk throws more volume but Amirkhani connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Amirkhani's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Amirkhani
Kirk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+75"
37
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Amirkhani
Kirk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.2
24.7
47.6
Performance Avg
28.3
46
Quality of Victory
25
56
Momentum Score
40
Amirkhani
Kirk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
3Ground1
Amirkhani
Kirk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Amirkhani
Kirk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Amirkhani
Kirk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Amirkhani
Kirk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Amirkhani
Kirk
Striking2.4 / 0.7Volume3.3 / 8.7Grappling5.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.7 / 1.7Submission5.7 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Amirkhani
Strike Zones
Kirk
Amirkhani
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Kirk
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kirk absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Kirk targets the head (75% of attacks) — Amirkhani absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Amirkhani
RND
Kirk
0/0R00/0

Amirkhani · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W6.0L5.5L4.3L5.0W3.2L3.5L2015-012018-052020-102022-072023-03
WinLossTrend

Kirk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.6W3.0L6.2L2021-062022-032023-07
WinLossTrend

Amirkhani · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike GrundyRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela KirkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

Kirk · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Damon JacksonRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

News & Media

Makwan Amirkhani · Kamuela Kirk
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