UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Middleweight
VS
11%
Johnston
89%
Schultz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:50
BJ
Ben Johnston
5 – 2
6'4"76" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 7
Wes
Wes Schultz
"Party Time"
9 – 3
Submission Hunter29 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Schultz

Schultz is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Schultz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.

Schultz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Johnston
Schultz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
35
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnston
Schultz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.0
55.4
0.0
Performance Avg
47.0
0
Quality of Victory
45
0
Momentum Score
59
Johnston
Schultz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
0.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance6
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Johnston
Schultz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnston
Schultz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/7 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Johnston
Schultz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
59
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Johnston
Schultz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnston
Schultz
Striking0.0 / 1.0Volume0.0 / 1.0Grappling0.0 / 8.0Wrestling0.0 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure0.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Johnston
Strike Zones
Schultz
Johnston
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Schultz
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnston targets the head (100% of attacks) — Schultz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Schultz targets the head (71% of attacks) — Johnston absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnston
RND
Schultz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Schultz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0103.9L5.5W2026-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Johnston · Last 1

L · Sub · R3
Wes SchultzRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05

Schultz · Last 2

W · Sub · R3
Ben JohnstonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Damian PinasRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

News & Media

Ben Johnston · Wes Schultz
← Back to fights