METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Middleweight
VS
13%
Johnston
87%
Schultz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Wes SchultzwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:50
def. Ben Johnston · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Schultz
→
Actual result
Schultz wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Schultz is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Schultz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Risk flags
Schultz has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnstonSchultz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnston
Schultz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
35
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnston
Schultz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.0
46.8
0.0
Performance Avg
40.3
0
Quality of Victory
45
0
Momentum Score
43
Johnston
Schultz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
0.0
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance6
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Johnston
Schultz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnston
Schultz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/7 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Johnston
Schultz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
43
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Johnston
Schultz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnston
Schultz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
JohnstonSchultz
Strike Zones
Johnston
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedSchultz
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnston targets the head (100% of attacks) — Schultz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Schultz targets the head (71% of attacks) — Johnston absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnston
RND
Schultz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnston · Last 1
L · Sub · R3
Wes SchultzSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
Schultz · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Jackson McVeyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Sub · R3
Ben JohnstonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Damian PinasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02