UFC 46: Supernatural
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2004
Welterweight
VS
34%
Verissimo
66%
Newton
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Newton
Newton holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Verissimo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Newton has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Verissimo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Newton has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Verissimo
Newton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
52
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Verissimo
Newton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.3
21.7
28.3
Performance Avg
54.9
25
Quality of Victory
63
40
Momentum Score
72
Verissimo
Newton
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Verissimo
Newton
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Verissimo
Newton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
7/30 fights
Verissimo
Newton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Verissimo
Newton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Verissimo
Newton
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
VerissimoNewton
Strike Zones
Verissimo
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNewton
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Verissimo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Newton absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Newton targets the body (100% of attacks) — Verissimo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Verissimo
RND
Newton
0/0R00/0
Verissimo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Newton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Verissimo · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Frank TriggRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 50: The War Of '04 · 2004-10
L · Dec · R3
Matt HughesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
W · Dec · R3
Carlos NewtonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 46: Supernatural · 2004-01
Newton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renato VerissimoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 46: Supernatural · 2004-01
W · Sub · R1
Pete SprattRating 5Submission
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
L · KO · R4
Matt HughesRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
L · KO · R2
Matt HughesRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 34: High Voltage · 2001-11
W · Sub · R3
Pat MiletichRating 5.2Submission
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05