METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2016
Lightweight
VS
59%
Saggo
41%
Salas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:31
★ Official Result
Jason SaggowinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:31
def. Justin Salas · UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saggo
→
Actual result
Saggo wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Saggo at 59% vs Salas at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Saggo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Salas has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SaggoSalas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Saggo
Salas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Saggo
Salas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
12.7
49.0
Performance Avg
39.1
48
Quality of Victory
37
52
Momentum Score
35
Saggo
Salas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
3.6
3.7
Style: Volume
6.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Saggo
Salas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saggo
Salas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
22
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Saggo
Salas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Saggo
Salas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saggo
Salas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
SaggoSalas
Strike Zones
Saggo
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSalas
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saggo targets the head (95% of attacks) — Salas absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Salas targets the body (100% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saggo
RND
Salas
0/0R00/0
Saggo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovDecision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Justin SalasKO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
Salas · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jason SaggoKO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · KO · R2
Joe ProctorKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · KO · R1
Ben WallKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · Sub · R1
Thiago TavaresSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07