★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Brooklyn, USA
7 Apr 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
69%
Namajunas
31%
Jedrzejczyk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Namajunas
Namajunas holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Jedrzejczyk has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jedrzejczyk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jedrzejczyk has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Namajunas
Jedrzejczyk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
65"
Reach
65"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
Jedrzejczyk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
27.8
55.9
Performance Avg
52.9
51
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
58
Namajunas
Jedrzejczyk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
15
1
Body
4
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
23Distance27
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Namajunas
Jedrzejczyk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
Jedrzejczyk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Namajunas
Jedrzejczyk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Namajunas
Jedrzejczyk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
Jedrzejczyk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
NamajunasJedrzejczyk
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedJedrzejczyk
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (87% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (54% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
Jedrzejczyk
0/0R00/0
Namajunas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Jedrzejczyk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Jedrzejczyk · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07