METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Cedar Rapids, USA
16 Jul 1999
Middleweight
VS
89%
Jones
11%
Moura
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:20
★ Official Result
Paul JoneswinsSubmissionR1 · 4:20
def. Flavio Luiz Moura · UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jones
→
Actual result
Jones wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Jones is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Jones has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JonesMoura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jones
Moura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
63
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Open Stance
Jones
Moura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
2.5
52.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Jones
Moura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
0.4
62%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
21Ground0
Jones
Moura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
3.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jones
Moura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/26 fights
Jones
Moura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jones
Moura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Moura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JonesMoura
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMoura
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (95% of attacks) — Moura absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Moura targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Moura
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 2
L · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 4UFC 22: Only One Can be Champion · 1999-09
W · Sub · R1
Flavio Luiz MouraRating 5Submission
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
Moura · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Paul JonesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07