UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22 Feb 2015
Welterweight
VS
44%
Ponzinibbio
56%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Strickland
This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 44% vs Strickland at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ponzinibbio throws more volume but Strickland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
57.7
50.5
Performance Avg
50.9
44
Quality of Victory
37
46
Momentum Score
100
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
3
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance11
2Clinch1
0Ground1
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
PonzinibbioStrickland
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (73% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (69% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01