METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22 Feb 2015
Welterweight
VS
41%
Ponzinibbio
59%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Santiago PonzinibbiowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sean Strickland · UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Strickland
→
Actual result
Ponzinibbio wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 41% vs Strickland at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PonzinibbioStrickland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
57.7
49.4
Performance Avg
50.9
44
Quality of Victory
37
26
Momentum Score
100
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
4.5
4.5
Style: Volume
6.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
3
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance11
2Clinch1
0Ground1
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
PonzinibbioStrickland
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (73% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (69% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Sam PattersonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01