METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
59%
Cerminara
41%
Wood
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
186
5'9"68" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Joanne
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
178
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 32
★ Official Result
Katlyn CerminarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joanne Wood · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerminara
Actual result
Cerminara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 59% vs Wood at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wood has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraWood
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cerminara
Wood
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
65"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Wood
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
32.1
40.9
Performance Avg
39.8
25
Quality of Victory
31
85
Momentum Score
68
Cerminara
Wood
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.9
Style: Pressure
3.1
9.3
Style: Volume
7.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
11
5
Body
6
4
Leg
22
RangeRange
29Distance39
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cerminara
Wood
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Wood
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
34
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
18/24 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Cerminara
Wood
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Wood
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerminara
Wood
Striking1.3 / 2.2Volume9.3 / 7.3Grappling2.4 / 2.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure1.9 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Cerminara
Strike Zones
Wood
Cerminara
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY4LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY22LEGS39 absorbed
Wood
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY22LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY4LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (69% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Wood targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerminara
RND
Wood
0/0R00/0

Cerminara · Last 5

Upcoming
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Wood · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Maryna Moroz
Decision
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Decision
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News & Media

Katlyn Cerminara · Joanne Wood
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