UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
52%
Cerminara
48%
Wood
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18 – 6
5'9"68" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Joanne
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
17 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cerminara

This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 52% vs Wood at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wood has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerminara
Wood
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
65"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Wood
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
38.5
40.9
Performance Avg
39.8
25
Quality of Victory
31
85
Momentum Score
68
Cerminara
Wood
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
3.3
35%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
11
5
Body
6
4
Leg
22
RangeRange
29Distance39
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cerminara
Wood
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerminara
Wood
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
34
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Cerminara
Wood
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Wood
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerminara
Wood
Striking1.3 / 2.2Volume9.3 / 7.3Grappling2.4 / 2.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure1.9 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Cerminara
Strike Zones
Wood
Cerminara
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY4LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY22LEGS39 absorbed
Wood
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY22LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY4LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (69% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Wood targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerminara
RND
Wood
0/0R00/0

Cerminara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.3W5.5L5.3W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.7W4.5W4.1L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.2W4.5W4.6W7.1L6.5L2016-072018-122020-102022-102024-03
WinLossTrend

Wood · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W2.1L4.5W5.5W2.3L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.8L4.9W1.5L4.5W6.3L1.7L2.7L5.1W5.1W2014-122017-072020-082023-032024-03
WinLossTrend

Cerminara · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

Wood · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R1
Alexa GrassoRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Taila SantosRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06

News & Media

Katlyn Cerminara · Joanne Wood
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