UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Beal
52%
Williams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Williams
This is a genuine toss-up — Beal at 48% vs Williams at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Williams has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Beal throws more volume but Williams connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Williams has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Beal
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
+73"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beal
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
17.0
40.0
Performance Avg
42.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
48
Momentum Score
43
Beal
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
35%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Beal
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beal
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Beal
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Beal
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Beal
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
BealWilliams
Strike Zones
Beal
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Beal targets the head (83% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the body (67% of attacks) — Beal absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Beal
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Beal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Beal · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Joe SotoRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris KeladesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Tateki MatsudaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R2
Patrick WilliamsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
Williams · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Luke SandersRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Tom DuquesnoyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Sub · R1
Alejandro PerezRating 5Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Chris BealRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04