METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Omaha, USA
17 Sept 2008
Middleweight
VS
91%
Sakara
9%
Vedepo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:27
★ Official Result
Alessio SakarawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:27
def. Joe Vedepo · UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sakara
→
Actual result
Sakara wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Sakara is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sakara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Vedepo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sakara's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vedepo has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SakaraVedepo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sakara
Vedepo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakara
Vedepo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
1.8
46.1
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Sakara
Vedepo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
2.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
52%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
2Clinch7
1Ground0
Sakara
Vedepo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakara
Vedepo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Sakara
Vedepo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Sakara
Vedepo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sakara
Vedepo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SakaraVedepo
Strike Zones
Sakara
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedVedepo
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sakara targets the head (43% of attacks) — Vedepo absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Vedepo targets the head (71% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sakara
RND
Vedepo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sakara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Vedepo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Sakara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteRating 4UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
Vedepo · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Rob KimmonsRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
L · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09