METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Hollywood, USA
25 Jan 2007
Heavyweight
VS
55%
O'Brien
45%
Herring
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake O'BrienwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Heath Herring · UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Brien
→
Actual result
O'Brien wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — O'Brien at 55% vs Herring at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Herring has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Brien's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
O'BrienHerring
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
O'Brien
Herring
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+78"
41+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
O'Brien
Herring
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
11.9
42.4
Performance Avg
31.0
33
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
35
O'Brien
Herring
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.8
33%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground6
O'Brien
Herring
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
O'Brien
Herring
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/44 fights
O'Brien
Herring
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
35
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
O'Brien
Herring
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Brien
Herring
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
O'BrienHerring
Strike Zones
O'Brien
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHerring
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Brien targets the body (100% of attacks) — Herring absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Herring targets the head (86% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Brien
RND
Herring
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
O'Brien · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Herring · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
O'Brien · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jon JonesRating 4.5Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
W · Dec · R3
Christian WellischRating 4.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Dec · R3
Heath HerringRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
Herring · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brock LesnarRating 5.5Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
W · Dec · R3
Cheick KongoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad ImesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Jake O'BrienRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01