METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Hollywood, USA
25 Jan 2007
Heavyweight
VS
55%
O'Brien
45%
Herring
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake O'BrienwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Heath Herring · UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Brien
→
Actual result
O'Brien wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — O'Brien at 55% vs Herring at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
O'Brien's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
O'BrienHerring
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
O'Brien
Herring
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+78"
41+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
O'Brien
Herring
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
11.9
42.4
Performance Avg
31.0
33
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
35
O'Brien
Herring
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
1.2
7.1
Style: Volume
8.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground6
O'Brien
Herring
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Brien
Herring
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/44 fights
O'Brien
Herring
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
35
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
O'Brien
Herring
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Brien
Herring
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
O'BrienHerring
Strike Zones
O'Brien
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHerring
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Brien targets the body (100% of attacks) — Herring absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Herring targets the head (86% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Brien
RND
Herring
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
O'Brien · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
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UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
Herring · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Jake O'BrienDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01