UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
San Jose, USA
11 Jul 2012
Welterweight
VS
86%
Guimaraes
14%
Stittgen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Marcelo Guimaraes
"Magrao"
9 – 2
6'0"73" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
DS
Dan Stittgen
"The Anvil"
12 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox6'1"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guimaraes

Guimaraes is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Guimaraes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Guimaraes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guimaraes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guimaraes
Stittgen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
2.1
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
3
Body
5
22
Leg
15
RangeRange
23Distance24
10Clinch1
0Ground0
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guimaraes
Stittgen
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume9.0 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Guimaraes
Strike Zones
Stittgen
Guimaraes
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY22LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY15LEGS25 absorbed
Stittgen
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY15LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY22LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guimaraes targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Stittgen absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Stittgen targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Guimaraes absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guimaraes
RND
Stittgen
0/0R00/0

Guimaraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.5W2.8L4.5W2.8L2012-072013-032014-062016-03
WinLossTrend

Stittgen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0102.1L5.5L2012-022012-07
WinLossTrend

Guimaraes · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · KO · R2
Hyun Gyu LimRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Dan StittgenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07

Stittgen · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Marcelo GuimaraesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Stephen ThompsonRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02

News & Media

Marcelo Guimaraes · Dan Stittgen
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