METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
San Jose, USA
11 Jul 2012
Welterweight
VS
86%
Guimaraes
14%
Stittgen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Marcelo GuimaraeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Stittgen · UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guimaraes
→
Actual result
Guimaraes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Guimaraes is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Guimaraes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Guimaraes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuimaraesStittgen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
2.1
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
9.0
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
3
Body
5
22
Leg
15
RangeRange
23Distance24
10Clinch1
0Ground0
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guimaraes
Stittgen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GuimaraesStittgen
Strike Zones
Guimaraes
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedStittgen
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guimaraes targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Stittgen absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Stittgen targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Guimaraes absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guimaraes
RND
Stittgen
0/0R00/0
Guimaraes · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaKO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · KO · R2
Hyun Gyu LimKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Dan StittgenDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
Stittgen · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Marcelo GuimaraesDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Stephen ThompsonKO/TKO
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02