UFC 99: The Comeback
Cologne, Germany
13 Jun 2009
Welterweight
VS
47%
Taylor
53%
Sobotta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sobotta
This is a genuine toss-up — Taylor at 47% vs Sobotta at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Taylor has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sobotta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taylor
Sobotta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Taylor
Sobotta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.4
15.1
41.0
Performance Avg
39.8
39
Quality of Victory
40
10
Momentum Score
50
Taylor
Sobotta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Taylor
Sobotta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taylor
Sobotta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Taylor
Sobotta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Taylor
Sobotta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taylor
Sobotta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TaylorSobotta
Strike Zones
Taylor
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSobotta
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taylor targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Sobotta targets the body (100% of attacks) — Taylor absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taylor
RND
Sobotta
0/0R00/0
Taylor · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Sobotta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Taylor · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Gabe RuedigerRating 5.2KO/TKO
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UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
Sobotta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R3
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Ben SaundersRating 5.2KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 4.8Decision
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