UFC 99: The Comeback
Cologne, Germany
13 Jun 2009
Welterweight
VS
47%
Taylor
53%
Sobotta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PT
Paul Taylor
"Relentless"
116
6'0"72" reachOrthodox46 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
PS
Peter Sobotta
177
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sobotta

This is a genuine toss-up — Taylor at 47% vs Sobotta at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Taylor has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sobotta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Taylor
Sobotta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Taylor
Sobotta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.4
15.1
41.0
Performance Avg
39.8
39
Quality of Victory
40
10
Momentum Score
50
Taylor
Sobotta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Taylor
Sobotta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taylor
Sobotta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Taylor
Sobotta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Taylor
Sobotta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Taylor
Sobotta
Striking5.9 / 3.3Volume4.9 / 4.8Grappling1.2 / 3.2Wrestling0.8 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Taylor
Strike Zones
Sobotta
Taylor
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY6LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Sobotta
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY6LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Taylor targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Sobotta targets the body (100% of attacks) — Taylor absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Taylor
RND
Sobotta
0/0R00/0

Taylor · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.2W2007-042008-062009-112011-02
WinLossTrend

Sobotta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.8W5.2W5.1L5.5L2009-062014-052016-092020-07
WinLossTrend

Taylor · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Gabe RuedigerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

Sobotta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11

News & Media

Paul Taylor · Peter Sobotta
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