UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
San Diego, USA
13 Aug 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
43%
Jauregui
57%
Lucindo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lucindo
This is a genuine toss-up — Jauregui at 43% vs Lucindo at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Jauregui throws more volume but Lucindo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jauregui's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jauregui
Lucindo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
64"
Reach
+66"
27
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jauregui
Lucindo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
53.8
45.0
Performance Avg
46.5
35
Quality of Victory
30
48
Momentum Score
81
Jauregui
Lucindo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
10
2
Body
5
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
25Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jauregui
Lucindo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jauregui
Lucindo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Jauregui
Lucindo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
81
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Jauregui
Lucindo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jauregui
Lucindo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
JaureguiLucindo
Strike Zones
Jauregui
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedLucindo
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jauregui targets the head (76% of attacks) — Lucindo absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Lucindo targets the head (56% of attacks) — Jauregui absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jauregui
RND
Lucindo
0/0R00/0
Jauregui · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Lucindo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Jauregui · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ketlen SouzaRating 1.9Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6Decision
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