UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Lesnar
47%
Hunt
Win Probability
BL
Brock Lesnar
5 – 3
6'3"81" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 24
MH
Mark Hunt
"Super Samoan"
13 – 14
Knockout Artist3-fight slide52 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lesnar

This is a genuine toss-up — Lesnar at 53% vs Hunt at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lesnar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Lesnar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lesnar's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hunt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lesnar
Hunt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
81"+
Reach
72"
48+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lesnar
Hunt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.6
20.6
69.0
Performance Avg
53.0
77
Quality of Victory
55
66
Momentum Score
91
Lesnar
Hunt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.0
70%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
30Ground2
Lesnar
Hunt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lesnar
Hunt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8 fights
Chin rating based on
18/27 fights
Lesnar
Hunt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R3
Lesnar
Hunt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
88%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lesnar
Hunt
Striking6.1 / 9.8Volume3.1 / 2.0Grappling2.6 / 0.3Wrestling1.8 / 0.2Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Lesnar
Strike Zones
Hunt
Lesnar
Attacking
32HEAD0BODY0LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Hunt
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD0BODY0LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lesnar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hunt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hunt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lesnar absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lesnar
RND
Hunt
0/0R00/0

Lesnar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L4.5W5.1W5.1W5.1W1.5L1.5L2008-022008-112010-072011-12
WinLossTrend

Hunt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5W4.0L5.1W2.1L5.1L5.0W5.0W4.0L6.6W6.4L1.5L5.5L2010-092013-032015-052017-062018-12
WinLossTrend

Lesnar · Last 5

Upcoming
Mark Hunt
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Alistair OvereemRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R2
Shane CarwinRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R2
Frank MirRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 100 · 2009-07

Hunt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Justin WillisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R4
Derrick LewisRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · KO · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

News & Media

Brock Lesnar · Mark Hunt
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