UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Middleweight
VS
47%
Anders
53%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Meerschaert
This is a genuine toss-up — Anders at 47% vs Meerschaert at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anders
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Anders
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
56.7
45.4
Performance Avg
48.2
41
Quality of Victory
50
79
Momentum Score
91
Anders
Meerschaert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
8
Body
7
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Anders
Meerschaert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anders
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Anders
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
91
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Anders
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
AndersMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (38% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (71% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Meerschaert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
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Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
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