METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Lightweight
VS
5%
Shalorus
95%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:08
KN
CFR 26
★ Official Result
Khabib NurmagomedovwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:08
def. Kamal Shalorus · UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurmagomedov
→
Actual result
Nurmagomedov wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Nurmagomedov is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Risk flags
Shalorus's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShalorusNurmagomedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+70"
54
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.5
25.9
0.0
Performance Avg
68.2
0
Quality of Victory
47
0
Momentum Score
100
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
6.8
0.0
Style: Volume
5.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
13/29 fights
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
13-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
54%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
ShalorusNurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Shalorus
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNurmagomedov
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shalorus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shalorus absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shalorus
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shalorus · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Khabib NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · KO · R3
Jim MillerKO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Justin GaethjeSubmission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Sub · R3
Dustin PoirierSubmission
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R4
Conor McGregorSubmission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R5
Al IaquintaDecision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaDecision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12