UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Lightweight
VS
5%
Shalorus
95%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:08
KN
CFR 26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nurmagomedov
Nurmagomedov is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Shalorus's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+70"
53
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.5
25.9
0.0
Performance Avg
68.2
0
Quality of Victory
47
0
Momentum Score
100
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.1
14%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
13/29 fights
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
13-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
54%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shalorus
Nurmagomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
ShalorusNurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Shalorus
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNurmagomedov
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shalorus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shalorus absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shalorus
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shalorus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Shalorus · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 4Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · KO · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 6.7Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Sub · R3
Dustin PoirierRating 6.6Submission
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R4
Conor McGregorRating 7.3Submission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R5
Al IaquintaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12