UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Featherweight
VS
48%
Allen
52%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Arnold
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
21 – 4
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Jean
Jean Silva
"Lord"
17 – 3
Striker29 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 67

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 48% vs Silva at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Allen
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
66.7
52.8
Performance Avg
61.7
35
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
87
Allen
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
15
4
Body
9
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance25
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Allen
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Allen
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
87
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · R3
Allen
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Silva
Striking3.3 / 6.7Volume6.9 / 3.0Grappling2.9 / 1.7Wrestling2.0 / 1.2Submission1.7 / 1.7Pressure4.7 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Allen
Strike Zones
Silva
Allen
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD9BODY2LEGS26 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
15HEAD9BODY2LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (63% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (58% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W4.6W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.6W6.6L6.8L5.5W7.1L5.7W2015-062019-032022-032024-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W6.0W5.7W5.5W6.3W3.4L5.9W2024-012024-072025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Allen · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R2
Diego LopesRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Bryce MitchellRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Melsik BaghdasaryanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Arnold Allen · Jean Silva
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