METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jul 2024
Heavyweight
VS
65%
Usman
35%
Petersen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thomas PetersenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mohammed Usman · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Petersen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Usman holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Petersen has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Petersen has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanPetersen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Petersen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
74"
37
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Usman
Petersen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.7
29.5
46.2
Performance Avg
32.1
33
Quality of Victory
25
83
Momentum Score
30
Usman
Petersen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
1.3
7.3
Style: Volume
8.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
25
7
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
24Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Usman
Petersen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Petersen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Usman
Petersen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
30
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Usman
Petersen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Petersen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
UsmanPetersen
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedPetersen
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (71% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Petersen targets the head (86% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Petersen
0/0R00/0
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Junior TafaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Petersen · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Guilherme PatDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02