METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Welterweight
VS
51%
Means
49%
Morono
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:09
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
3317
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Alex
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
2413
Well-Rounded4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 35
★ Official Result
Alex MoronowinsSubmissionR2 · 2:09
def. Tim Means · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Means
Actual result
Morono wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Means at 51% vs Morono at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MeansMorono
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Means
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
35.0
45.2
Performance Avg
43.3
41
Quality of Victory
35
40
Momentum Score
20
Means
Morono
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.9
4.8
Style: Volume
6.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance15
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Means
Morono
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.5
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Means
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Means
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Means
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
31%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Morono
Striking5.0 / 2.7Volume4.8 / 6.7Grappling2.2 / 2.9Wrestling1.5 / 2.0Submission1.3 / 1.5Pressure5.3 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Means
Strike Zones
Morono
Means
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Morono
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (75% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (87% of attacks) — Means absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0

Means · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Court McGee
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros Medic
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre Fialho
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex Morono
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

Morono · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniil Donchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos Leal
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko Price
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

News & Media

Tim Means · Alex Morono
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