UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Welterweight
VS
51%
Means
49%
Morono
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:09
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
33 – 17
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Alex
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Means

This is a genuine toss-up — Means at 51% vs Morono at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Means
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
35.0
45.2
Performance Avg
43.3
41
Quality of Victory
35
40
Momentum Score
20
Means
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance15
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Means
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Means
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Means
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
31%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Morono
Striking5.0 / 2.7Volume4.8 / 6.7Grappling2.2 / 2.9Wrestling1.5 / 2.0Submission1.3 / 1.5Pressure5.3 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Means
Strike Zones
Morono
Means
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Morono
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (75% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (87% of attacks) — Means absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0

Means · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L6.1L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W1.9L5.2W5.2W2.8L4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.2L5.0W3.7L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.4L6.1L2.8L5.5W3.3L1.7L2012-022015-042018-112022-102024-10
WinLossTrend

Morono · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.9W5.0W5.1W2.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5L5.3W6.7L4.7W6.2L6.4L2.3L7.8L2016-012019-032021-092024-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Means · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

Morono · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

News & Media

Tim Means · Alex Morono
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