UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Catch Weight
VS
44%
Anjos
56%
Moicano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moicano

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 44% vs Moicano at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anjos
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anjos
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
50.3
47.7
Performance Avg
51.7
41
Quality of Victory
43
49
Momentum Score
64
Anjos
Moicano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
33
3
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
37Distance34
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Anjos
Moicano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anjos
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Anjos
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
64
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Anjos
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
62%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
7
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Moicano
Striking3.1 / 2.1Volume5.7 / 3.8Grappling3.3 / 5.0Wrestling2.3 / 3.5Submission2.4 / 5.4Pressure4.8 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Anjos
Strike Zones
Moicano
Anjos
Attacking
32HEAD3BODY3LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD3BODY0LEGS36 absorbed
Moicano
Attacking
33HEAD3BODY0LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD3BODY3LEGS38 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (84% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (92% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Moicano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.4L5.0W5.5W3.2L2.0L5.0W2.5L6.0W6.1W5.7L5.0W5.7W6.5W5.9W3.5L6.5L6.4W2014-122018-082021-062024-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Moicano · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Renato Moicano
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