UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Rozenstruik
46%
Gaziev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 5:00
Jairzinho
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15 – 6
6'2"78" reachOrthodox38 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 57
Shamil
Shamil Gaziev
14 – 3
Striker2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rozenstruik

This is a genuine toss-up — Rozenstruik at 54% vs Gaziev at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rozenstruik has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rozenstruik's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gaziev has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rozenstruik
Gaziev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
78"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rozenstruik
Gaziev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
48.3
56.7
Performance Avg
48.0
54
Quality of Victory
47
56
Momentum Score
49
Rozenstruik
Gaziev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
37%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
8 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
2
7
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
45Distance2
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Rozenstruik
Gaziev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rozenstruik
Gaziev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
34
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Rozenstruik
Gaziev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
49
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
Rozenstruik
Gaziev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
67%
8
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rozenstruik
Gaziev
Striking10.0 / 7.7Volume2.1 / 3.7Grappling0.3 / 0.8Wrestling0.2 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Rozenstruik
Strike Zones
Gaziev
Rozenstruik
Attacking
35HEAD7BODY6LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Gaziev
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD7BODY6LEGS48 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (73% of attacks) — Gaziev absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Gaziev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rozenstruik
RND
Gaziev
0/0R00/0

Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.7W5.5W1.9L5.2W7.2L5.2W6.4L2.8L5.3W3.3L6.0W4.9W6.7L2019-022020-052021-092024-032025-02
WinLossTrend

Gaziev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.2W4.5L4.8W5.0W3.0L5.1L2023-122024-032024-082025-022025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

Gaziev · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Brando PericicRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Thomas PetersenRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Shamil Gaziev
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