UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Welterweight
VS
45%
Brown
55%
Williams
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Randy
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
20 – 8
6'3"78" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Khaos
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
16 – 5
Striker32 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'0"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Williams

This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 45% vs Williams at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Brown connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brown
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
77"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
63.7
48.7
Performance Avg
54.6
39
Quality of Victory
49
92
Momentum Score
87
Brown
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
11
6
Body
4
5
Leg
14
RangeRange
28Distance28
13Clinch0
0Ground1
Brown
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Brown
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
87
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brown
Williams
Striking4.1 / 8.4Volume5.3 / 3.6Grappling2.9 / 0.7Wrestling2.0 / 0.5Submission2.1 / 0.0Pressure5.4 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Brown
Strike Zones
Williams
Brown
Attacking
30HEAD6BODY5LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY14LEGS29 absorbed
Williams
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY14LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD6BODY5LEGS41 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (73% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brown
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W2.8L5.5W5.2W6.6L5.0W3.4L5.9W5.5W4.2L5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W3.0L4.5W6.0W5.0W7.3L5.6W3.8L6.1L2016-012018-072022-052024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Williams · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.0W6.5W6.1L5.0W6.1W6.4L4.5W5.8W4.5L5.7L5.4W2020-022021-062023-052025-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Brown · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Williams · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Randy Brown · Khaos Williams
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