METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Welterweight
VS
45%
Brown
55%
Williams
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Randy BrownwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Khaos Williams · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Williams
→
Actual result
Brown wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 45% vs Williams at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
77"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
63.7
48.7
Performance Avg
54.6
39
Quality of Victory
49
92
Momentum Score
87
Brown
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
8.4
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
6.9
5.3
Style: Volume
3.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
11
6
Body
4
5
Leg
14
RangeRange
28Distance28
13Clinch0
0Ground1
Brown
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Brown
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
87
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Brown
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
BrownWilliams
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (73% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Williams · Last 5
Upcoming
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W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimSubmission
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W · KO · R1
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