UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Ledyard, USA
5 Sept 2014
Flyweight
VS
58%
Moraga
42%
Scoggins
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:47
JM
John Moraga
19 – 7
5'6"66" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JS
Justin Scoggins
11 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'7"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moraga

This is a genuine toss-up — Moraga at 58% vs Scoggins at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Scoggins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Scoggins has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Moraga
Scoggins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
66"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moraga
Scoggins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
13.5
47.9
Performance Avg
38.0
42
Quality of Victory
34
64
Momentum Score
39
Moraga
Scoggins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
63%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moraga
Scoggins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.9
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraga
Scoggins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/16 fights
Moraga
Scoggins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Moraga
Scoggins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moraga
Scoggins
Striking3.6 / 3.4Volume4.1 / 6.9Grappling3.9 / 1.8Wrestling2.7 / 1.3Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Moraga
Strike Zones
Scoggins
Moraga
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Scoggins
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Scoggins targets the body (50% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moraga
RND
Scoggins
0/0R00/0

Moraga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W4.0L4.5W4.8L5.2W5.5W5.5L5.7L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L2012-082014-062016-072018-042018-08
WinLossTrend

Scoggins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W3.2L2.8L6.9L2013-122014-092016-112018-07
WinLossTrend

Moraga · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Scoggins · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

News & Media

John Moraga · Justin Scoggins
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