METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Bantamweight
VS
31%
Perez
69%
Lapilus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Erik PerezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Taylor Lapilus · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lapilus
→
Actual result
Perez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lapilus holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Perez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lapilus has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PerezLapilus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Perez
Lapilus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+73"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Perez
Lapilus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
49.7
54.6
Performance Avg
48.0
39
Quality of Victory
30
100
Momentum Score
85
Perez
Lapilus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
1Clinch1
2Ground0
Perez
Lapilus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Perez
Lapilus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Perez
Lapilus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Perez
Lapilus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
17%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Lapilus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.2
PerezLapilus
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLapilus
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lapilus absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lapilus targets the head (50% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Lapilus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lapilus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Perez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Felipe ArantesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Sub · R2
Bryan CarawayRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Edwin FigueroaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
Lapilus · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Leandro IssaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09