Joe Lauzon vs Jeremy Stephens — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens

Tampa, USA

7 Feb 2009

Lightweight

28%

Lauzon

72%

Stephens

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 4:43

Joe Lauzon

28 – 16

5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 18

Jeremy Stephens

"Lil' Heathen"

29 – 23

Well-Rounded7-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"

CFR 45

★ Official Result

Joe LauzonwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:43

def. Jeremy Stephens · UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Stephens

→

Actual result

Lauzon wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Stephens is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

LauzonStephens

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Lauzon

Stephens

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'9"

71"

Reach

71"

Age

+40

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Lauzon

Stephens

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

17.7

45.0

51.5

Performance Avg

41.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Lauzon

Stephens

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.4

/ 10

5.5

/ 10

7.3

Style: Pressure

4.5

2.2

Style: Volume

4.6

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance4

0Clinch0

2Ground4

Lauzon

Stephens

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.0

/ 10

1.1

/ 10

2.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

4.7

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Lauzon

Stephens

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.6 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

27/44 fights

Chin rating based on

36/52 fights

Lauzon

Stephens

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

7-fight 📉 slide

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Lauzon

Stephens

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

80%

47%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lauzon

Stephens

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.5

4.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.1

2.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

4.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.5

2.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.6

Lauzon

Strike Zones

Stephens

Lauzon

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Stephens

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Lauzon targets the head (75% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Stephens targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lauzon

RND

Stephens

0/0R00/0

Lauzon · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Jonathan Pearce

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

L · KO · R2

Chris Gruetzemacher

KO/TKO

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

L · KO · R1

Clay Guida

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11

L · Dec · R3

Stevie Ray

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

W · Dec · R3

Marcin Held

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Stephens · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

King Green

Submission

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Mason Jones

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

L · Sub · R1

Mateusz Gamrot

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

L · KO · R2

Calvin Kattar

KO/TKO

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

L · Dec · R3

Yair Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

News & Media

Joe Lauzon · Jeremy Stephens

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