UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
44%
Barboza
56%
Quarantillo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Quarantillo
This is a genuine toss-up — Barboza at 44% vs Quarantillo at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Quarantillo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quarantillo has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barboza
Quarantillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Quarantillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
58.1
46.3
Performance Avg
47.3
40
Quality of Victory
42
60
Momentum Score
100
Barboza
Quarantillo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
57%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
9 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
16
5
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance18
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Barboza
Quarantillo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Quarantillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/25 fights
Barboza
Quarantillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Barboza
Quarantillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
9
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barboza
Quarantillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
BarbozaQuarantillo
Strike Zones
Barboza
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedQuarantillo
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (62% of attacks) — Quarantillo absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Quarantillo targets the head (84% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barboza
RND
Quarantillo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barboza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Quarantillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Quarantillo · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Cub SwansonRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R2
Youssef ZalalRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

