METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Melbourne, Australia
5 Oct 2019
Lightweight
VS
35%
Riddell
65%
Mullarkey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad RiddellwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jamie Mullarkey · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mullarkey
→
Actual result
Riddell wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Mullarkey holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Riddell has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mullarkey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mullarkey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RiddellMullarkey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riddell
Mullarkey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Riddell
Mullarkey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
38.1
37.9
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
36
50
Momentum Score
51
Riddell
Mullarkey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Style: Pressure
3.7
9.1
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
52
Head
12
8
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
39Distance15
2Clinch0
20Ground0
Riddell
Mullarkey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Mullarkey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Riddell
Mullarkey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Riddell
Mullarkey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddell
Mullarkey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
RiddellMullarkey
Strike Zones
Riddell
Attacking
61 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMullarkey
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
61 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the head (85% of attacks) — Mullarkey absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Mullarkey targets the head (80% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddell
RND
Mullarkey
0/0R00/0
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Mullarkey · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyKO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09