METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Auburn Hills, USA
20 Nov 2010
Lightweight
VS
51%
Griffin
49%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nik LentzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tyson Griffin · UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Griffin
→
Actual result
Lentz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 51% vs Lentz at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GriffinLentz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Griffin
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
68"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
16.0
42.3
Performance Avg
45.3
32
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
53
Griffin
Lentz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
4.3
7.1
Style: Volume
6.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance5
2Clinch0
1Ground2
Griffin
Lentz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Griffin
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Griffin
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Griffin
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Lentz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
GriffinLentz
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLentz
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (92% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (57% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiKO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiKO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamDecision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
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L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardKO/TKO
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