UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Auburn Hills, USA
20 Nov 2010
Lightweight
VS
51%
Griffin
49%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TG
Tyson Griffin
16 – 8
5'6"68" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
NL
Nik Lentz
"The Carny"
30 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Griffin

This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 51% vs Lentz at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Lentz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Griffin
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
68"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
16.0
42.3
Performance Avg
45.3
32
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
53
Griffin
Lentz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance5
2Clinch0
1Ground2
Griffin
Lentz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Griffin
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Griffin
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Lentz
Striking2.4 / 3.4Volume7.1 / 6.4Grappling2.8 / 2.7Wrestling2.0 / 1.9Submission1.3 / 1.4Pressure3.5 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Griffin
Strike Zones
Lentz
Griffin
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Lentz
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (92% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (57% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L2006-092008-022009-092011-062011-10
WinLossTrend

Lentz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.4L4.5W5.2W7.5L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.2L6.9L6.8L2009-092012-012015-052018-102021-01
WinLossTrend

Griffin · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06

Lentz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

News & Media

Tyson Griffin · Nik Lentz
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