UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Chicago, USA
26 Jan 2013
Welterweight
VS
67%
Thoresen
33%
Mitchell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ST
Simeon Thoresen
"The Grin"
17 – 6
6'1"79" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
DM
David Mitchell
"Daudi"
22 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Thoresen

Thoresen holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Mitchell has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Thoresen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Thoresen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Thoresen
Mitchell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
75"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thoresen
Mitchell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
8.4
43.0
Performance Avg
23.0
50
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
15
Thoresen
Mitchell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
4
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance9
3Clinch2
0Ground5
Thoresen
Mitchell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thoresen
Mitchell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/29 fights
Thoresen
Mitchell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Thoresen
Mitchell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Thoresen
Mitchell
Striking0.7 / 0.4Volume0.7 / 8.4Grappling8.0 / 2.4Wrestling5.6 / 1.7Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Thoresen
Strike Zones
Mitchell
Thoresen
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Mitchell
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Thoresen targets the head (53% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Mitchell targets the head (88% of attacks) — Thoresen absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Thoresen
RND
Mitchell
0/0R00/0

Thoresen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W1.5L5.5L2012-042012-092013-01
WinLossTrend

Mitchell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L2010-092011-082013-012013-072013-10
WinLossTrend

Thoresen · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
David MitchellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Seth BaczynskiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Sub · R2
Besam YousefRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04

Mitchell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yan CabralRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Simeon ThoresenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
TJ WaldburgerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09

News & Media

Simeon Thoresen · David Mitchell
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