UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Arlovski
54%
Rozenstruik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:29
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Jairzinho
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15 – 6
Knockout Artist38 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rozenstruik

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 46% vs Rozenstruik at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Arlovski throws more volume but Rozenstruik connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Rozenstruik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Rozenstruik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
57.0
50.5
Performance Avg
56.7
47
Quality of Victory
54
94
Momentum Score
56
Arlovski
Rozenstruik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Rozenstruik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Rozenstruik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Arlovski
Rozenstruik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Arlovski
Rozenstruik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
89%
9
KO / TKO Wins
8
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Rozenstruik
Striking5.0 / 10.0Volume5.3 / 2.1Grappling1.9 / 0.3Wrestling1.4 / 0.2Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Rozenstruik
Arlovski
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Rozenstruik
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (80% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Rozenstruik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.7W5.5W1.9L5.2W7.2L5.2W6.4L2.8L5.3W3.3L6.0W4.9W6.7L2019-022020-052021-092024-032025-02
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Jairzinho Rozenstruik
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