METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Welterweight
VS
58%
Nelson
42%
Ponzinibbio
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:22
★ Official Result
Santiago PonzinibbiowinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:22
def. Gunnar Nelson · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nelson
→
Actual result
Ponzinibbio wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 58% vs Ponzinibbio at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Nelson's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ponzinibbio has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NelsonPonzinibbio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nelson
Ponzinibbio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
38+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Ponzinibbio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.8
40.9
52.8
Performance Avg
49.4
46
Quality of Victory
44
61
Momentum Score
26
Nelson
Ponzinibbio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
5.8
2.9
Style: Volume
4.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Nelson
Ponzinibbio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
8.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
8
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nelson
Ponzinibbio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.2 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/25 fights
Chin rating based on
21/40 fights
Nelson
Ponzinibbio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
26
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Nelson
Ponzinibbio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
8
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nelson
Ponzinibbio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
6.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
4.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
NelsonPonzinibbio
Strike Zones
Nelson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPonzinibbio
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (80% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nelson
RND
Ponzinibbio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nelson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Sam PattersonKO/TKO
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L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
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L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
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