The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jun 2012
Welterweight
VS
46%
Ellenberger
54%
Kampmann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kampmann
This is a genuine toss-up — Ellenberger at 46% vs Kampmann at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Kampmann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ellenberger's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kampmann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ellenberger
Kampmann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ellenberger
Kampmann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
18.6
45.7
Performance Avg
52.1
45
Quality of Victory
44
56
Momentum Score
76
Ellenberger
Kampmann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
10
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
3Clinch3
0Ground1
Ellenberger
Kampmann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ellenberger
Kampmann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Ellenberger
Kampmann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
76
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ellenberger
Kampmann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
64%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ellenberger
Kampmann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.5
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
EllenbergerKampmann
Strike Zones
Ellenberger
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedKampmann
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ellenberger targets the head (77% of attacks) — Kampmann absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Kampmann targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ellenberger absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ellenberger
RND
Kampmann
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ellenberger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Kampmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Ellenberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Mike PerryRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Kampmann · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Carlos ConditRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.1KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
W · Sub · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
W · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11