METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Sydney, Australia
8 Feb 2025
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Tafa
45%
Teixeira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:35
★ Official Result
Tallison TeixeirawinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:35
def. Justin Tafa · UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tafa
→
Actual result
Teixeira wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tafa at 55% vs Teixeira at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Tafa's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Teixeira has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TafaTeixeira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tafa
Teixeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'7"
74"
Reach
+83"
32
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tafa
Teixeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.5
48.9
53.8
Performance Avg
45.5
60
Quality of Victory
43
98
Momentum Score
58
Tafa
Teixeira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
5.0
0.9
Style: Volume
5.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch3
0Ground4
Tafa
Teixeira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tafa
Teixeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Tafa
Teixeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
58
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Tafa
Teixeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tafa
Teixeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
TafaTeixeira
Strike Zones
Tafa
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTeixeira
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (63% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tafa
RND
Teixeira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Austen LaneKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Upcoming
Austen LaneUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Parker PorterKO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Teixeira · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Justin TafaKO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02