UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2012
Heavyweight
VS
36%
Fries
64%
Duffee
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Duffee
Duffee holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Fries has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Duffee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Duffee throws more volume but Fries connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fries's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Duffee has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fries
Duffee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
78"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fries
Duffee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
24.5
38.3
Performance Avg
60.0
37
Quality of Victory
60
43
Momentum Score
98
Fries
Duffee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
3.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
14
0
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance13
7Clinch7
0Ground0
Fries
Duffee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fries
Duffee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Fries
Duffee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Fries
Duffee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fries
Duffee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
FriesDuffee
Strike Zones
Fries
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedDuffee
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fries targets the head (100% of attacks) — Duffee absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Duffee targets the head (70% of attacks) — Fries absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fries
RND
Duffee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fries · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Duffee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Fries · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · Sub · R2
Oli ThompsonRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Rob BroughtonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
Duffee · Last 5
Upcoming
Jeff HughesUFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Philip De FriesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R3
Mike RussowRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05