UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
Sacramento, USA
30 Aug 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
94%
Correia
6%
Baszler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Correia
Correia is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Correia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Correia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Correia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Baszler has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Correia
Baszler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Correia
Baszler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
1.6
36.8
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
88
Momentum Score
0
Correia
Baszler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
19%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
47
Head
5
16
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance2
23Clinch3
0Ground0
Correia
Baszler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Correia
Baszler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/26 fights
Correia
Baszler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Correia
Baszler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Correia
Baszler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CorreiaBaszler
Strike Zones
Correia
Attacking
63 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBaszler
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
63 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Correia targets the head (75% of attacks) — Baszler absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Baszler targets the head (100% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Correia
RND
Baszler
0/0R00/0
Correia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Baszler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
Baszler · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · KO · R2
Bethe CorreiaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08