UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
4 Sept 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
68%
Teixeira
32%
Bader
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Bader has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Teixeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Bader throws more volume but Teixeira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bader has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Bader
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
76"+
Reach
74"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Teixeira
Bader
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
20.1
58.4
Performance Avg
54.2
51
Quality of Victory
40
59
Momentum Score
100
Teixeira
Bader
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance5
1Clinch6
9Ground0
Teixeira
Bader
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Bader
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
10
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Teixeira
Bader
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Teixeira
Bader
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
40%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
7
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Bader
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
TeixeiraBader
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedBader
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (93% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Bader targets the head (82% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Bader
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Bader · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01