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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
59%
Trinaldo
41%
Felder
Win Probability
FT
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
289
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 32
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
176
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsR3 · 2:25
def. Paul Felder · UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 59% vs Felder at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoFelder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Trinaldo
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
48
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
21.7
48.6
Performance Avg
49.0
35
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
100
Trinaldo
Felder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
5.7
6.3
Style: Volume
4.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
1
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Felder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Trinaldo
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Trinaldo
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
56%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trinaldo
Felder
Striking3.6 / 5.6Volume6.3 / 4.8Grappling2.4 / 2.0Wrestling1.6 / 1.4Submission1.1 / 1.1Pressure4.4 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Trinaldo
Strike Zones
Felder
Trinaldo
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Felder
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the body (75% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trinaldo
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0

Trinaldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randy Brown
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny Roberts
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight Grant
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim Salikhov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai Herbert
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos Anjos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan Hooker
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson Barboza
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James Vick
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike Perry
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

News & Media

Francisco Trinaldo · Paul Felder
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