UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
59%
Trinaldo
41%
Felder
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Trinaldo
This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 59% vs Felder at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Felder throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
21.7
48.6
Performance Avg
49.0
35
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
100
Trinaldo
Felder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
1
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Felder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Trinaldo
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Trinaldo
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
56%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Felder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TrinaldoFelder
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedFelder
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the body (75% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Felder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Felder · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07