METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Welterweight
VS
50%
Brady
50%
Buckley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sean BradywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joaquin Buckley · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brady
→
Actual result
Brady wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brady at 50% vs Buckley at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Buckley throws more volume but Brady connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brady's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buckley has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BradyBuckley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brady
Buckley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+76"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brady
Buckley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
58.0
53.7
Performance Avg
50.6
35
Quality of Victory
41
84
Momentum Score
100
Brady
Buckley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
22Ground0
Brady
Buckley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brady
Buckley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Brady
Buckley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brady
Buckley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brady
Buckley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
BradyBuckley
Strike Zones
Brady
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBuckley
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brady targets the head (96% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brady
RND
Buckley
0/0R00/0
Brady · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Buckley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Brady · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Buckley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05