METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
56%
Weili
44%
Lemos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zhang WeiliwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Amanda Lemos · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Weili
→
Actual result
Weili wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Weili at 56% vs Lemos at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Lemos has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WeiliLemos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Weili
Lemos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
63"
Reach
+65"
37+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Weili
Lemos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.9
55.2
63.3
Performance Avg
48.1
54
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
85
Weili
Lemos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
5.6
6.3
Style: Volume
4.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
0
11
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance1
3Clinch0
44Ground0
Weili
Lemos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weili
Lemos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Weili
Lemos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Weili
Lemos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weili
Lemos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
WeiliLemos
Strike Zones
Weili
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLemos
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weili targets the head (76% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Lemos targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weili
RND
Lemos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Weili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
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Yan XiaonanDecision
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UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
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