METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Tybura
53%
Spivac
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:44
★ Official Result
Serghei SpivacwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:44
def. Marcin Tybura · UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spivac
→
Actual result
Spivac wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 47% vs Spivac at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Spivac has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spivac has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TyburaSpivac
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tybura
Spivac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Spivac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.0
44.1
44.3
Performance Avg
50.5
37
Quality of Victory
47
43
Momentum Score
33
Tybura
Spivac
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
6.3
5.7
Style: Volume
3.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tybura
Spivac
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tybura
Spivac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
16/24 fights
Tybura
Spivac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Tybura
Spivac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Spivac
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
TyburaSpivac
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSpivac
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spivac targets the head (67% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Spivac
0/0R00/0
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneDecision
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L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
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W · R2
Jhonata DinizUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
Spivac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ante DelijaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08