UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
79%
Makhachev
21%
Ramos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Islam
Islam Makhachev
28 – 1
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrs16-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 75
Davi
Davi Ramos
"Tasmanian Devil"
10 – 4
Submission Hunter2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'6"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Makhachev

Makhachev is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Makhachev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Makhachev
Ramos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
34+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Ramos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
19.7
69.8
Performance Avg
49.6
53
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
59
Makhachev
Ramos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.8
60%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch0
11Ground0
Makhachev
Ramos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.6
4.7
Submission Style (/10)
7.5
8
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makhachev
Ramos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Makhachev
Ramos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
16-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Makhachev
Ramos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
75%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
8
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makhachev
Ramos
Striking3.6 / 1.1Volume4.7 / 3.1Grappling4.6 / 6.6Wrestling3.2 / 4.6Submission4.7 / 7.5Pressure7.4 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Makhachev
Strike Zones
Ramos
Makhachev
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Ramos
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ramos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makhachev
RND
Ramos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Makhachev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.1W4.5W6.7W5.6W5.9W5.7W6.5W6.0W6.5W6.8W5.8W6.0W2015-052018-072021-102024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Ramos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.5L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W7.5L7.1L2017-032018-052019-052020-07
WinLossTrend

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

Ramos · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Sub · R1
John GuntherRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Nick HeinRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05

News & Media

Islam Makhachev · Davi Ramos
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