METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
79%
Makhachev
21%
Ramos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Islam MakhachevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Davi Ramos · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makhachev
→
Actual result
Makhachev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Makhachev is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakhachevRamos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makhachev
Ramos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
34+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Ramos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
19.7
69.4
Performance Avg
49.6
53
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
59
Makhachev
Ramos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
7.1
Style: Pressure
7.0
5.0
Style: Volume
3.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch0
11Ground0
Makhachev
Ramos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.6
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
7.5
8
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makhachev
Ramos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
17 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Makhachev
Ramos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
17-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Makhachev
Ramos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
75%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
8
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makhachev
Ramos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
MakhachevRamos
Strike Zones
Makhachev
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRamos
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ramos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makhachev
RND
Ramos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makhachev · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierSubmission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Ramos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Islam MakhachevDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Sub · R1
John GuntherSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Nick HeinSubmission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05