METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Salt Lake City, USA
5 Oct 2024
Welterweight
VS
51%
McGee
49%
Means
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:19
★ Official Result
Court McGeewinsSubmissionR1 · 3:19
def. Tim Means · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGee
→
Actual result
McGee wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McGee at 51% vs Means at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Means has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McGeeMeans
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McGee
Means
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
Means
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
36.5
40.1
Performance Avg
45.2
36
Quality of Victory
41
50
Momentum Score
40
McGee
Means
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
5.3
6.7
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McGee
Means
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGee
Means
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/37 fights
Chin rating based on
30/50 fights
McGee
Means
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
McGee
Means
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Means
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
McGeeMeans
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMeans
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (64% of attacks) — Means absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Means targets the head (40% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Means
0/0R00/0
McGee · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
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L · KO · R1
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
Means · Last 5
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Court McGeeSubmission
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L · KO · R1
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W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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