UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Salt Lake City, USA
5 Oct 2024
Welterweight
VS
51%
McGee
49%
Means
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:19
Court
Court McGee
"The Crusher"
23 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 39
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
33 – 17
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McGee

This is a genuine toss-up — McGee at 51% vs Means at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Means has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

McGee
Means
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
Means
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
36.5
40.1
Performance Avg
45.2
36
Quality of Victory
41
50
Momentum Score
40
McGee
Means
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McGee
Means
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
Means
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
30/50 fights
McGee
Means
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
McGee
Means
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McGee
Means
Striking0.9 / 5.0Volume6.7 / 4.8Grappling3.9 / 2.2Wrestling2.8 / 1.5Submission2.7 / 1.3Pressure3.3 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
McGee
Strike Zones
Means
McGee
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Means
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (64% of attacks) — Means absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Means targets the head (40% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McGee
RND
Means
0/0R00/0

McGee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.4W5.5L4.5W2.0L4.5W5.5L6.6L4.5W5.5L6.6L5.5L4.5W6.0W2.9L1.9L5.5L5.1W6.3L2010-062013-082017-112022-012025-06
WinLossTrend

Means · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L6.1L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W1.9L5.2W5.2W2.8L4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.2L5.0W3.7L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.4L6.1L2.8L5.5W3.3L1.7L2012-022015-042018-112022-102024-10
WinLossTrend

McGee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

Means · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

News & Media

Court McGee · Tim Means
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